Nigeria’s Debt Servicing: Current State

Nigeria spent approximately $817.4 million (₦1.26 trillion) on debt servicing in the first two months of 2025. This represents a slight decline of 3.12% compared to the same period in 2024. However, the country’s total public debt stock has risen to ₦97.3 trillion ($108 billion) as of December 2024. A significant portion of the 2025 budget is allocated to debt repayments, reflecting the growing burden on national finances.

Key Challenges

  1. High Debt-Service-to-Revenue Ratio:
    • Nigeria’s debt-service-to-revenue ratio remains alarmingly high, limiting the government’s ability to invest in critical sectors like infrastructure, education, and healthcare.
  2. Pressure on Foreign Reserves:
    • Debt payments have strained Nigeria’s foreign reserves, which stood at $32.1 billion as of March 2025. This impacts the Central Bank’s ability to stabilize the naira and manage currency volatility.
  3. Revenue Generation Issues:
    • Despite efforts to boost revenue through tax reforms and improved oil production, the country struggles to generate sufficient income to meet its debt obligations.

Potential Consequences if Unaddressed

  1. Economic Instability:
    • Continued reliance on borrowing could lead to unsustainable debt levels, increasing the risk of default and economic crises.
  2. Reduced Public Investment:
    • High debt servicing costs divert funds from essential public services, exacerbating poverty and inequality.
  3. Currency Depreciation:
    • Persistent pressure on foreign reserves may lead to further depreciation of the naira, increasing inflation and reducing purchasing power.
  4. Investor Confidence:
    • Rising debt levels and fiscal instability could deter foreign investment, slowing economic growth.

Recommendations

  1. Diversify Revenue Sources:
    • Expand non-oil revenue streams through agriculture, technology, and manufacturing to reduce reliance on oil exports.
  2. Debt Restructuring:
    • Negotiate more favorable terms with creditors to ease repayment burdens and extend maturities.
  3. Fiscal Discipline:
    • Implement strict budgetary controls to reduce wasteful spending and prioritize high-impact projects.
  4. Strengthen Monetary Policy:
    • Enhance foreign exchange management to stabilize the naira and build investor confidence.

This analysis highlights the urgency of addressing Nigeria’s debt servicing challenges to ensure long-term economic stability. If the management of Nigeria’s economy refuses to act fast, the nation will be moving to over dept.

Last Updated on March 20, 2025 by kingstar

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