As Nigeria approaches the 2027 general elections, political tensions are escalating following an unprecedented wave of defections to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC). Since 2023, at least 86 lawmakers—spanning both the Senate and House of Representatives—have crossed over to the APC, triggering alarm among opposition parties and democratic stakeholders over the country’s increasing drift toward a de facto one-party system.

Democracy at a Crossroads?

The growing dominance of the APC, especially in the National Assembly, has prompted renewed debate about the health of Nigeria’s multiparty democracy. Political analysts, civil society groups, and members of the opposition warn that the continuous weakening of rival parties could erode checks and balances, consolidate executive power, and stifle dissent.

“We are witnessing a dangerous consolidation of political power. This is not just about numbers in the legislature—it’s about the future of pluralism and accountability in Nigeria,” said Dr. Ayo Olatunji, a political science lecturer at the University of Lagos.

Notably, the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), once the dominant party for 16 years, has suffered the highest number of defections. Other smaller parties like the Labour Party and New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP) have also been significantly weakened, especially at the state level.

Why Are Lawmakers Defecting?

While many defectors cite “internal crisis” and “alignment with their constituents’ interests” as reasons for switching allegiance, critics argue that political survival, access to federal resources, and personal ambition are the real drivers.

“In Nigeria, defection is rarely ideological. It’s mostly about access to power and political patronage,” said Professor Zainab Mahmood, a constitutional lawyer based in Abuja.

The APC, on its part, has welcomed the defections, stating that it reflects public confidence in the administration of President Bola Tinubu, who came to power in 2023 on a reformist mandate. Party officials have touted the move as a strategic consolidation necessary for the implementation of critical policies on the economy, security, and governance.

The Bigger Picture: Implications for 2027

With the next general elections just two years away, Nigeria’s political landscape is shifting rapidly. The fear, however, is that a weakened opposition could render the electoral process uncompetitive, potentially alienating voters and undermining democratic legitimacy.

“Without a strong opposition, there’s little incentive for transparency, service delivery, or adherence to democratic norms,” warned CISLAC (Civil Society Legislative Advocacy Centre) in a recent policy brief.

The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has also raised concerns about the impact of instability within parties on the credibility of elections. Already, there are calls for reforms that would curb arbitrary defections, enforce internal party democracy, and strengthen the Electoral Act.

What Needs to Be Done?

To preserve the spirit of democracy, experts recommend:

• Amending Section 68(g) of the Nigerian Constitution to make defections more difficult unless there’s a clear and justified crisis within a party.

• Ensuring greater political education and awareness among voters to hold politicians accountable.

• Encouraging inclusive governance, so parties rely on performance rather than coercion or enticement to maintain loyalty.

The Role of Citizens

Nigerians must remain vigilant and engaged, especially in the lead-up to the 2027 elections. A vibrant democracy thrives when citizens:

• Participate actively in political discussions,

• Demand issue-based campaigns,

• And vote not based on party lines, but competence and integrity.

“If we don’t protect our democracy, no one else will,” said Chidi Nwafor, a youth activist from Enugu.

Conclusion

As Nigeria navigates the murky waters of political realignment, the nation stands at a pivotal juncture. The ongoing wave of defections may serve short-term party interests, but at what cost to democracy?

Whether Nigeria emerges from the 2027 elections stronger or further divided will depend not just on politicians, but on institutions, civil society, and most importantly—the Nigerian people.

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Last Updated on May 19, 2025 by kingstar